Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.158820 0.187607 0.219728 0.258170 0.302870 0.353150 0.413935
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.115447 0.153050 0.199636 0.261344 0.340665 0.438903 0.569470
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.087729 0.127549 0.181153 0.258050 0.364897 0.507369 0.710867
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072479 0.113792 0.173362 0.264590 0.399627 0.590725 0.879842
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059523 0.100066 0.162190 0.262957 0.420567 0.655394 1.028687
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.048825 0.087397 0.149877 0.256645 0.432147 0.705958 1.160817
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040272 0.076437 0.138122 0.248732 0.439033 0.748675 1.284038
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035609 0.071253 0.134934 0.254140 0.467700 0.828328 1.474140
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031460 0.066196 0.131038 0.257437 0.492641 0.903806 1.664556
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027682 0.061131 0.126253 0.258200 0.512730 0.972470 1.849633
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024819 0.057374 0.123319 0.261865 0.538265 1.052919 2.063205
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022854 0.055145 0.123021 0.270517 0.574077 1.155377 2.326746
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019678 0.049755 0.115575 0.263919 0.579641 1.202704 2.493873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017642 0.046616 0.112460 0.266005 0.603153 1.287306 2.742191
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015474 0.042743 0.107105 0.262398 0.614140 1.347912 2.948699
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014257 0.041008 0.106360 0.268983 0.647787 1.457891 3.266127
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012699 0.038082 0.102323 0.267310 0.662749 1.530032 3.511307
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011096 0.034713 0.096661 0.260897 0.665965 1.577052 3.707053
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009634 0.031439 0.090705 0.252861 0.664263 1.612841 3.881353
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008938 0.030274 0.090099 0.258352 0.695856 1.726564 4.240340
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008225 0.028913 0.088750 0.261700 0.722496 1.831376 4.588542
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007492 0.027339 0.086563 0.262476 0.742669 1.922857 4.914040
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006932 0.026217 0.085495 0.266198 0.770922 2.036356 5.301951